Football prediction

League One Matchday 15

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth Prediction

Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT: Sheffield Wednesday welcome Plymouth in the League One (matchday 15). Home win 42%, draw 33%, away win 25% according to our model, and the pick is Sheffield Wednesday or draw (75%).

Sheffield WednesdayWLLDD

16:00Sat 14 Nov 2026 · WAT

PlymouthWLLWD

Hillsborough, Sheffield

Our prediction

Sheffield Wednesday or draw75% probability · best odds 1.47

42%33%25%

Sheffield WednesdayDrawPlymouth

Most likely score: 1 - 1
Both teams to score: 63%
Expected goals: 1.5 – 1.1
Double chance: 1X 75% · 12 67% · X2 58%

Model advice: Double chance : Sheffield Wednesday or draw

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Sheffield Wednesday	Plymouth
Results	WLLDD	WLLWD
Goals scored per game	1.4	1.0
Goals conceded per game	1.2	1.6

Sheffield WednesdayPlymouth

42%

58%Form

58%

42%Attack

57%

43%Defence

68%

32%Poisson

80%

20%Head to head

75%

25%Goals

63%

37%Overall

Head-to-head

5Sheffield Wednesday0Draws3Plymouth

8 Mar 2025Plymouth0 - 3Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
11 Aug 2024Sheffield Wednesday4 - 0PlymouthChampionship
5 Mar 2024Sheffield Wednesday1 - 0PlymouthChampionship
25 Oct 2023Plymouth3 - 0Sheffield WednesdayChampionship
4 Feb 2023Sheffield Wednesday1 - 0PlymouthLeague One
4 Oct 2022Plymouth2 - 1Sheffield WednesdayLeague One

Best odds (1X2)

Sheffield Wednesday2.35Dafabetfair 41%

Draw3.75Betfairfair 26%

Plymouth2.86Pinnaclefair 34%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 8.0%.

Compare all Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Sheffield Wednesday	42%	40.6%	+1.4
Draw	33%	25.7%	+7.3
Plymouth	25%	33.7%	-8.7

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth preview, prediction and stats – 14 Nov 2026 WAT

Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this League One matchday 15 meeting at Hillsborough.

Sheffield Wednesday and Plymouth form

Sheffield Wednesday have a mixed recent record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (WLLDD) across their last 5. Over their last 5 matches Plymouth have managed 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (WLLWD). Over those games Sheffield Wednesday averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, Plymouth 1.0 and 1.6.

What the numbers say

Sheffield Wednesday are the model’s favourites at 42%, 17 points clear of Plymouth, while the draw is rated 33%. Expected goals come out at 1.5 for Sheffield Wednesday and 1.1 for Plymouth, and the most likely single scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 48% and both teams to score (GG) 52%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Sheffield Wednesday in attack (58-42), Sheffield Wednesday in defence (57-43), Plymouth in form (58-42).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Sheffield Wednesday won 5, Plymouth won 3 and 0 ended level, an average of 3.0 goals per game. Both teams scored in 2 of them and 6 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 8 Mar 2025, finished Plymouth 0-3 Sheffield Wednesday.

Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 2.35 for Sheffield Wednesday (Dafabet), 3.75 for the draw (Betfair) and 2.86 for Plymouth (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 41% / 26% / 34%. Our model is 7.3 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.58 and under at 2.37.

Our Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth prediction

Our pick for Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth is Sheffield Wednesday or draw, rated 75%, best price 1.47. Correct score suggestion: 1-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth?: The model gives Sheffield Wednesday 42%, the draw 33% and Plymouth 25%. Our tip is Sheffield Wednesday or draw.
What is the predicted score for Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth?: 1-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 1.5 and 1.1.
Will both teams score in Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth?: GG is rated 52% by the model and the best GG price is 1.50.
When and where is Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth?: Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT, League One (matchday 15), Hillsborough.

Compare every market on the Sheffield Wednesday vs Plymouth odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.