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Football odds comparison USL Championship odds Semi-finals

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic Odds

Best New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic odds from 9 bookmakers: 3.04 New Mexico United, 3.40 draw, 2.64 Sacramento Republic. Monday 16 November, 01:00 WAT kick-off, USL Championship (semi-finals).

New Mexico UnitedWLWWW
01:00Mon 16 Nov 2026 · WAT
Sacramento RepublicDWWWW

Rio Grande Credit Union Field at Isotopes Park

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic odds by market

Match Winner9 bookmakers

BookmakerNew Mexico UnitedDrawSacramento Republic
William Hill2.902.902.30
Bet3652.703.402.30
Marathonbet2.822.842.43
Betfair2.803.002.38
BetVictor2.803.252.40
Pinnacle3.042.932.64
1xBet2.822.842.43
Betano2.803.052.40
Dafabet3.003.302.31
Average2.853.062.40
Fair probability32.1%29.9%38.1%

Average bookmaker margin: 9.4%.

Double Chance7 bookmakers

Bookmaker1X12X2
William Hill1.531.361.36
Bet3651.531.251.36
Marathonbet1.421.311.32
Betfair1.501.301.36
BetVictor1.501.301.36
1xBet1.421.311.32
Betano1.551.331.42
Average1.491.311.36

Home/Away4 bookmakers

BookmakerNew Mexico UnitedSacramento Republic
William Hill2.051.67
Bet3652.101.67
BetVictor2.001.75
Betano2.001.72
Average2.041.70
Fair probability45.5%54.5%

Average bookmaker margin: 7.8%.

Updated 15 Nov, 05:45 WAT · Highlighted cells are the best price for each outcome. Prices move; confirm them on the bookmaker before betting.

Best odds (1X2)

New Mexico United3.04Pinnaclefair 32%
Draw3.40Bet365fair 30%
Sacramento Republic2.64Pinnaclefair 38%

Compared across 9 bookmakers. Market margin 9.4%.

Model vs bookmakers

OutcomeOur modelMarket (fair)Edge
New Mexico United23%32.1%-9.1
Draw36%29.9%+6.1
Sacramento Republic41%38.1%+2.9

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic prediction and tips

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic odds analysis

Bookmakers see New Mexico United against Sacramento Republic as close to a coin flip: once the margin is removed, New Mexico United are rated 32% and Sacramento Republic 38%, with the draw at 30%. The best prices are 3.04 on New Mexico United (Pinnacle) and 2.64 on Sacramento Republic (Pinnacle).

The average 1X2 margin is 9.4%. Shopping for the best price matters here: the gap between the highest and the average price is where most of that margin sits.

The 2.5 goals line is balanced at roughly 48% for the over, so team news is likely to move it.

Both teams to score (GG) is priced at 1.80 for Yes and 2.05 for No, a 54% chance that both sides find the net.

Our model is more positive than the market on the draw, by 6.1 percentage points. That is the outcome to research first.

Odds analysis

Comparing New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic odds across bookmakers

Odds FAQ

New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic odds questions

What are the best odds for New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

New Mexico United 3.04 (Pinnacle), draw 3.40 (Bet365), Sacramento Republic 2.64 (Pinnacle), from 9 bookmakers compared in the latest update.

Who is the favourite in New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

Sacramento Republic, with a margin-free probability of 38%.

What are the over/under 2.5 odds for New Mexico United vs Sacramento Republic?

Over 2.5 goals is 2.00 and under 2.5 is 1.83 at the best available prices.