Football prediction

League One Matchday 15

Oxford United vs Peterborough Prediction

Peterborough host Oxford United in the League One (matchday 15) on Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT. Our model rates the match 25% / 34% / 41% (home / draw / away), and the pick is Oxford United or draw (75%).

PeterboroughWDLDL

16:00Sat 14 Nov 2026 · WAT

Oxford UnitedWDWDW

Weston Homes Stadium, Peterborough

Our prediction

Oxford United or draw75% probability · best odds 1.50

25%34%41%

PeterboroughDrawOxford United

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Both teams to score: 63%
Expected goals: 0.9 – 1.6
Double chance: 1X 59% · 12 66% · X2 75%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Oxford United

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Peterborough	Oxford United
Results	WDLDL	WDWDW
Goals scored per game	1.4	1.2
Goals conceded per game	2.0	0.4

PeterboroughOxford United

31%

69%Form

54%

46%Attack

17%

83%Defence

23%

77%Poisson

29%

71%Head to head

31%

69%Goals

31%

69%Overall

Head-to-head

2Peterborough3Draws3Oxford United

13 Aug 2024Oxford United2 - 0PeterboroughLeague Cup
8 May 2024Peterborough1 - 1Oxford UnitedLeague One
4 May 2024Oxford United1 - 0PeterboroughLeague One
13 Apr 2024Oxford United5 - 0PeterboroughLeague One
9 Dec 2023Peterborough3 - 0Oxford UnitedLeague One
1 Apr 2023Peterborough0 - 0Oxford UnitedLeague One

Best odds (1X2)

Peterborough2.76Pinnaclefair 36%

Draw3.60Bet365fair 27%

Oxford United2.58Pinnaclefair 37%

Compared across 4 bookmakers. Market margin 7.8%.

Compare all Peterborough vs Oxford United odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Peterborough	25%	35.8%	-10.8
Draw	34%	27.1%	+6.9
Oxford United	41%	37.1%	+3.9

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Prediction analysis

Peterborough vs Oxford United prediction and preview (14 Nov 2026 WAT)

Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT is the date for this League One matchday 15 meeting at Weston Homes Stadium.

Peterborough and Oxford United form

Peterborough have a mixed recent record of 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (WDLDL) across their last 5. Over their last 5 matches Oxford United have managed 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats (WDWDW). Over those games Peterborough averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, Oxford United 1.2 and 0.4.

What the numbers say

Oxford United are the model’s favourites at 41%, 16 points clear of Peterborough, while the draw is rated 34%. Expected goals come out at 0.9 for Peterborough and 1.6 for Oxford United, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 45% and both teams to score (GG) 47%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Oxford United in defence (83-17), Oxford United in form (69-31).

Head-to-head record

In the last 8 meetings Peterborough won 2, Oxford United won 3 and 3 ended level, an average of 2.5 goals per game. Both teams scored in 3 of them and 4 went over 2.5 goals. The most recent meeting, on 13 Aug 2024, finished Oxford United 2-0 Peterborough.

Peterborough vs Oxford United odds

Across 4 bookmakers the best prices are 2.76 for Peterborough (Pinnacle), 3.60 for the draw (Bet365) and 2.58 for Oxford United (Pinnacle). With the margin removed the market reads 36% / 27% / 37%. Our model is 6.9 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.64 and under at 2.35.

Our Peterborough vs Oxford United prediction

Our pick for Peterborough vs Oxford United is Oxford United or draw, rated 75%, best price 1.50. Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Peterborough vs Oxford United?: The model gives Peterborough 25%, the draw 34% and Oxford United 41%. Our tip is Oxford United or draw.
What is the predicted score for Peterborough vs Oxford United?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (13%), from expected goals of 0.9 and 1.6.
Will both teams score in Peterborough vs Oxford United?: GG is rated 47% by the model and the best GG price is 1.50.
When and where is Peterborough vs Oxford United?: Saturday 14 November, 16:00 WAT, League One (matchday 15), Weston Homes Stadium.

Compare every market on the Peterborough vs Oxford United odds page.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.