Football prediction

Championship Matchday 15

Wolves vs Wrexham Prediction

Wrexham vs Wolves kicks off on Saturday 7 November, 13:30 WAT in the Championship (matchday 15). The model gives Wrexham 21%, the draw 35% and Wolves 44%, and the pick is Wolves or draw (79%).

WrexhamLWLLW

13:30Sat 7 Nov 2026 · WAT

WolvesWDWWW

Racecourse Ground, Wrexham

Our prediction

Wolves or draw79% probability · best odds 1.37

21%35%44%

WrexhamDrawWolves

Most likely score: 0 - 1
Both teams to score: 54%
Expected goals: 1.0 – 1.5
Double chance: 1X 56% · 12 65% · X2 79%

Model advice: Double chance : draw or Wolves

Form and team strength

Last 5 games	Wrexham	Wolves
Results	LWLLW	WDWWW
Goals scored per game	1.4	1.8
Goals conceded per game	1.2	0.6

WrexhamWolves

32%

68%Form

44%

56%Attack

33%

67%Defence

50%

50%Poisson

0%Head to head

0%Goals

40%

60%Overall

Best odds (1X2)

Wrexham3.41Pinnaclefair 29%

Draw3.50Betfairfair 28%

Wolves2.25Dafabetfair 43%

Compared across 10 bookmakers. Market margin 6.9%.

Compare all Wrexham vs Wolves odds

Model vs bookmakers

Outcome	Our model	Market (fair)	Edge
Wrexham	21%	29.1%	-8.1
Draw	35%	27.9%	+7.1
Wolves	44%	42.9%	+1.1

A positive edge means our model rates the outcome higher than the bookmakers’ margin-free price. It is a research signal, not a guarantee.

Championship table position

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
2	Wolves	14	+8	27	WWWDW
16	Wrexham	14	-2	17	WLLWL

Full Championship table and predictions

Prediction analysis

Wrexham vs Wolves: our prediction for 7 Nov 2026 WAT

This Championship matchday 15 fixture is played on Saturday 7 November, 13:30 WAT at Racecourse Ground. Wrexham are 16th with 17 points from 14 games (goal difference -2); Wolves are 2nd with 27 points from 14 (+8). The 10-point gap shows the difference in quality this season.

Wrexham and Wolves form

Wrexham are struggling for results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in the last 5 (LWLLW). Wolves are flying, with 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 games (WDWWW). Over those games Wrexham averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, Wolves 1.8 and 0.6.

What the numbers say

Wolves are the model’s favourites at 44%, 23 points clear of Wrexham, while the draw is rated 35%. Expected goals come out at 1.0 for Wrexham and 1.5 for Wolves, and the most likely single scoreline is 0-1 (12%). Over 2.5 goals is rated 46% and both teams to score (GG) 49%. The clearest strengths in the team comparison: Wolves in attack (56-44), Wolves in defence (67-33), Wolves in form (68-32).

Wrexham vs Wolves odds

Across 10 bookmakers the best prices are 3.41 for Wrexham (Pinnacle), 3.50 for the draw (Betfair) and 2.25 for Wolves (Dafabet). With the margin removed the market reads 29% / 28% / 43%. Our model is 7.1 points higher than the bookmakers on the draw – the biggest disagreement on this match. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.98 and under at 1.93.

Our Wrexham vs Wolves prediction

The selection we are backing in Wrexham vs Wolves: Wolves or draw (79% confidence, best price 1.37). Correct score suggestion: 0-1. Check confirmed line-ups an hour before kick-off – a late absence can change the picture.

Quick answers

Who will win Wrexham vs Wolves?: The model gives Wrexham 21%, the draw 35% and Wolves 44%. Our tip is Wolves or draw.
What is the predicted score for Wrexham vs Wolves?: 0-1 is the most likely scoreline (12%), from expected goals of 1.0 and 1.5.
Will both teams score in Wrexham vs Wolves?: GG is rated 49% by the model and the best GG price is 1.73.
When and where is Wrexham vs Wolves?: Saturday 7 November, 13:30 WAT, Championship (matchday 15), Racecourse Ground.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees. 18+ only – bet responsibly.